Maths Olympiad Prep

Track / Stage 5 / 4 of 400 #604 of 1964

Problem 604

AIME late
Combinatorics Difficulty 5.0 Find the answer

12n(n+1)\frac{1}{2} n(n+1) distinct numbers are randomly arranged in a triangle:

Let MkM_{\mathrm{k}} be the maximum number in the kk-th row (counting from the top), find the probability that M1<M2<M3<<MnM_{1}<M_{2}<M_{3}<\cdots<M_{\mathrm{n}} holds.

A number or a short expression. Fractions can be typed as 3/2, and spacing doesn't matter.

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Official solution

2. Let the required probability be pnp_{\mathrm{n}}, obviously, p1=1p_{1}=1, p2=2/3p_{2}=2 / 3.

Since the largest number must appear in the last row to satisfy the inequality described in the problem. The probability of this situation occurring is
n12n(n+1)=2n+1. \frac{n}{\frac{1}{2} n(n+1)}=\frac{2}{n+1} .

Therefore,
pn=2n+1pn1==2n(n+1)!(n2). p_{n}=\frac{2}{n+1} p_{n-1}=\cdots=\frac{2^{n}}{(n+1)!} \quad(n \geqslant 2) .

Source: NuminaMath-1.5, licensed Apache-2.0. Statement reproduced verbatim; metadata (topic, difficulty, ordering) added by this project.